Happy Saturday readers! “Vegas” Dave Consolazio and I recorded Week 13 of NFL: Beyond the Numbers earlier this week, but we ran into some technical issues. I’ll let Dave explain in his own words below, before he tells you his weekly picks. After that, I’ll come back in and give you my picks. Sorry again for the issues, but we hope you still enjoy the picks! Thanks for reading!
With that, here are Dave’s picks this week:
Dave: 16-20. 5-7 Upsets
NY Jets -4.5 vs. Arizona: The Jets are terrible, but Arizona is even worse. New York has shown us the ability (48-28 over Buffalo, 35-9 over Indianapolis, 27-13 over St. Louis) to beat non-elite teams big, and after last week’s humiliating loss in front of the nation on Thanksgiving Day, the Jets should be fired up to put together a big bounce back performance this week.
Houston -6.0 at Tennessee: After two straight weeks of close games, Houston is due for a dominant performance on both sides of the ball. Tennessee is capable of stringing a big game together, but it is also capable of rolling over and dying. I expect the latter this week and for Houston to roll.
UPSET San Diego over Cincinnati: All the pressure is on the Bengals in this one. They need this win to stay in the Wild Card hunt while the Chargers can play loose. They almost upset the Ravens last week; this week the Chargers close the deal with a win over Cincinnati.”
Chicago -4.5 vs. Seattle– I wouldn’t have taken this game on Monday morning, and then I heard the news that the Seahawks were losing their starting corners Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner. Then, I heard the news that Sherman and Browner would in fact play on Sunday, but I’m sticking with the Bears anyways. The Seahawks are terrible on the road, and Jay Cutler is terrific at home. Not to mention the fact that I love this play making defense to force a couple of turnovers from Russell Wilson and this offense.
Carolina -3 at Kansas City– Well it only took 11 weeks, but Cam finally had a monster game on Monday against Philly. Now, he has confidence, and he’s up against Kansas City, who struggles against the run. Also, the Panthers defense has been the weakness for most the year, but no one on the Chiefs scares you. I think Carolina finishes the season strong, and this is one of the stepping stones of that.
Miami +9 vs. New England– Just a gut feeling on this one. Miami got some confidence back by getting a W against Seattle. I think that at home, this defense steps their game up against the Patriots defense. And it’s tough to know what to take from New England’s win over the Jets because of that 21 point 90 second phase in the 2nd quarter that blew the game wide open. I think the Fins surprisingly keep it close in this one.
Upset: Cleveland over Oakland– The Cleveland D has been solid all year, and they showed that last week, forcing 8 turnovers on their way to beating the Steelers. One concern is that the team only managed 20 points despite the turnovers. McFadden might be coming back, but I’m not sure how effective he will be. As far as upsets go, you can’t really go wrong picking against Oakland.
Lastly, let’s wrap it up with a couple receivers I think you should grab in free agency if you haven’t already.
Ryan Broyles- 30% owned– Broyles has stepped up and the Lions finally have a go to #2 option. Burleson is out for the year, Titus Young is a bust this year, so Stafford has found a new guy to go to outside of Megatron. Every game, Broyles will see 1-on-1 coverage, and he’s show he can beat that.
Davone Bess- 33% owned– Bess has put up back to back 15 point games, and given the matchup this week, he should have another good game. This will be a shootout, and it seems like Tannehill has finally realized that he has this guy. Expect another solid game from him this week.
That wraps it up! Again we apologize for the print article as opposed to the sound of our lovely voices, but hopefully by next week, everything will be sorted out. Thanks for reading!